EDGE ANALYTICSWC 2026
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WC 2026 · MODEL PERFORMANCE

ACCURACY

72 games · walk-forward blind predictions

⚠ Prediction tool · not financial or betting advice
0.0%
Directional43/72 correct
0.0%
Exact score7 exact picks
0%
Draw recallof 20 draws found
0.0/g
Avg sbru ptsper game
TOURNAMENT SIMULATOR
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DRAW ANALYSIS
ACTUAL RATE28%20 draws
MODEL CALLS0%0 predicted
PRECISION0%of calls correct
ROLLING ACCURACY (5-GAME WINDOW)
60%
Game 1Game 72
OUTCOME BREAKDOWN (CALL RATE vs PRECISION)
Home calls
46g
Draw calls
0g
Away calls
26g
Call ratePrecision
VS NAIVE BASELINES
Always pick higher ELO
62.5%
🤖 Model (WC2026 R1)
59.7%
Always pick home
50.0%

R1 predictions ran ELO only — pre-tournament form not seeded. Model improves as in-tournament form data accumulates.

PREDICTION LOG
1Mexico vs South Africa2-02-0EXACT
2Korea vs Czechia2-02-1CLOSE
3Canada vs Bosnia2-11-1MISS
4USA vs Paraguay2-04-1RES
5Qatar vs Switzerland0-21-1MISS
6Brazil vs Morocco2-01-1MISS
7Scotland vs Haiti2-01-0CLOSE
8Australia vs Turkiye1-22-0MISS
9Germany vs Curacao3-07-1RES
10Netherlands vs Japan2-12-2MISS
11Ivory Coast vs Ecuador1-21-0MISS
12Sweden vs Tunisia2-15-1RES
13Spain vs Cape Verde2-00-0MISS
14Belgium vs Egypt2-01-1MISS
15Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay1-21-1MISS
16Iran vs New Zealand2-12-2MISS
17France vs Senegal2-03-1RES
18Norway vs Iraq2-14-1RES
19Argentina vs Algeria2-03-0CLOSE
20Austria vs Jordan2-13-1CLOSE
21Portugal vs DR Congo2-01-1MISS
22England vs Croatia2-14-2RES
23Ghana vs Panama2-11-0RES
24Uzbekistan vs Colombia0-21-3RES
25Argentina vs Austria2-02-0EXACT
26France vs Iraq3-13-0CLOSE
27Norway vs Senegal2-13-2RES
28Jordan vs Algeria1-21-2EXACT
29Portugal vs Uzbekistan2-05-0RES
30England vs Ghana2-10-0MISS
31Panama vs Croatia1-20-1RES
32Colombia vs DR Congo2-11-0RES
33Norway vs France1-21-4RES
34Senegal vs Iraq2-15-0RES
35Algeria vs Austria1-23-3MISS
36Jordan vs Argentina0-31-3CLOSE
37Colombia vs Portugal0-20-0MISS
38DR Congo vs Uzbekistan2-03-1RES
39Croatia vs Ghana2-02-1CLOSE
40Panama vs England0-20-2EXACT
41Czechia vs South Africa2-01-1MISS
42Mexico vs Korea2-01-0CLOSE
43Switzerland vs Bosnia2-04-1RES
44Canada vs Qatar2-06-0RES
45Scotland vs Morocco1-00-1MISS
46Brazil vs Haiti3-03-0EXACT
47USA vs Australia2-12-0CLOSE
48Turkiye vs Paraguay2-10-1MISS
49Germany vs Ivory Coast2-02-1CLOSE
50Ecuador vs Curacao2-10-0MISS
51Netherlands vs Sweden1-25-1MISS
52Tunisia vs Japan1-20-4CLOSE
53Belgium vs Iran2-10-0MISS
54New Zealand vs Egypt1-21-3CLOSE
55Spain vs Saudi Arabia2-04-0RES
56Uruguay vs Cape Verde2-02-2MISS
57Czechia vs Mexico0-20-3CLOSE
58South Africa vs Korea0-21-0MISS
59Switzerland vs Canada1-22-1MISS
60Bosnia vs Qatar2-13-1CLOSE
61Scotland vs Brazil0-20-3CLOSE
62Morocco vs Haiti2-04-2RES
63Turkiye vs USA0-23-2MISS
64Paraguay vs Australia0-20-0MISS
65Curacao vs Ivory Coast0-20-2EXACT
66Ecuador vs Germany0-22-1MISS
67Japan vs Sweden2-11-1MISS
68Tunisia vs Netherlands1-31-3EXACT
69Egypt vs Iran2-11-1MISS
70New Zealand vs Belgium0-21-5RES
71Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia2-10-0MISS
72Uruguay vs Spain0-20-1CLOSE
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